Speaking locally, a couple of weeks now with no rain and low 90’s F temperatures. This kind of drought makes growing anything problematic at best. Without checking I imagine the corn, grain and soybean growers in the mid-west might possibly be betting worried. I know we should - the heat may be tolerable but if food production is impacted we have serious issues on top of other serious issues. Look out for the straw hitting the camel’s back.
All of that, and no ElNino this year.
And July, well it’s shaping up to be the warmest every recorded in the northern hemisphere.
Things don’t look good, do they?
Well, I can answer one of Ms. Thunberg’s questions.
Where are the adults — the ones who are supposed to be leaders? They are fellating the ruling classes and jacking off to images of their stock portfolios.
First the covid. Mr. Trump can say that the covid is no worse than the flu, but maybe 15% of confirmed cases go to the hospital. The covid occasionally causes diabetes out of the blue in healthy people, strokes, leg amputations, scarred lungs and breathing problems for life, heart attacks and other organs can be damaged or shut down. The real disaster can hit while you think you’re on the mend two weeks after diagnosis. You can get the covid more than once. Most of the South and Southwest doesn’t understand that when hospitals are massively flooded with patients, more patients die for lack of care. They’ll understand all of this in a matter of weeks.
Now for the Arctic. The entire Republican Party can chant “Drill Baby Drill,” but the tundra is already in feedback. Zombie fires have been burning all the way through the Siberian winter. These tundra fires and dead/dying boreal forest fires are unleashing vast amounts of greenhouse gases in extremely slow motion. Bottom line, I see chronic worldwide agricultural failures followed by hunger. If you’re a senior, best guess you’ll die normally (or from the covid) and be off this planet. If you’re a kid, how do I put this? Remember how you partied and then all those seniors got the covid? Well…
So, if you’re a senior, be nice to the next generations and save them from mass hunger.
As I often say, the Green New Dinosaur desperately needs and lacks the following provisions:
We have to inhibit the Arctic meltdown. I’m talking to you, 350 and Sunrise organizers.
Stop saying “net zero” which can be a copout. We need all heating and A/C to approach zero fuel. We need examples on the ground.
Plan to mobilize most landowners to sequester carbon. Don’t think only in terms of farmers. Wood lot owners and scrub land managers have work to do also.
Think toward worldwide political mobilization. R&D is good for the whole planet.
R&D isn’t something that a megacorporation does. It saves people’s lives. Grade all R&D projects on merit, merit, merit and on no other criterion, especially not on who gets extremely rich.
The Arctic Ocean is turning blue now. ~https://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/
Where are they Greta asks.
Well trump has us distracted with the virus for one thing. They can’t, and wouldn’t want to do anything about climate. Like infrastructure, they are not willing to invest in working people doing the jobs needed doing.
I revel at the FDR projects built during the depression. Long lasting building projects we still enjoy. And the working person is available to do climate change works right now.
Not just the Arctic:
Paul Beckwith just put out a couple of videos related to upcoming food shortages:
High Risk of Simultaneous Crop Failures in North America, Europe, and Asia From Stuck Jet Streams. h-ttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-dZecBLntF8
These stuck jet stream patterns are debilitating. It’s so hot and humid in the upper midwest it’s utterly miserable. Day after day after day with no end in sight. Knowing Siberia is on fire amplifies the feelings of dread over what we face now.
JULY 6, 2020—The Arctic Is On Fire, and We Should all Be Terrified
How anyone can still be in denial about the dire predicament we are in is beyond me.
Somehow we must prepare psychologically and as much as possible physically.
Not quite sure how to do that--------it will have to be a fast learning curve as things (climate breakdown/chaos) are going exponential now —or so it seems to me.
The truth is important. I want to know what level of f—ed we have arrived at now.
People dance around this issue (including people like Michael Mann) and don’t want to speak the truth-----as science knows it today.
And the methane . … .
“Where are the adults?” asks Greta. Unfortunately the entire global Adult population, with respect to resolving climate, is collectively totally utterly worthless and insignificant compared to a single fourteen year old girl. The leadership they worship is directly responsible for human extinction, and for the immeasurable suffering and turmoil associated with it. When her generation seizes office, and that will not be long from now, I only hope they treat their predecessors accordingly. with all due disregard, animosity and outright hostility that they are the innocent recipients of.
Our corporate and political leadership are worse than Nazis, yes they really are.
“Energy cannot be created or destroyed, it can only be changed from one form to another.”
I see a bad moon a-rising
I see trouble on the way
I see earthquakes and lightnin’
I see bad times today
Don’t go 'round tonight
It’s bound to take your life
There’s a bad moon on the rise
I hear hurricanes a-blowing
I know the end is coming soon
I fear rivers over flowing
I hear the voice of rage and ruin
Don’t go 'round tonight
It’s bound to take your life
There’s a bad moon on the rise
I hope you got your things together
I hope you are quite prepared to die
Look’s like we’re in for nasty weather
One eye is taken for an eye
Oh don’t go 'round tonight
It’s bound to take your life
There’s a bad moon on the rise
There’s a bad moon on the rise
Songwriters: John C. Fogerty
Bad Moon Rising lyrics © The Bicycle Music Company
UnclePo: Welcome to the Amerikan Fourth Reich complete with it’s Amerikan, Fuehrer!
In the meantime:
“Over 5,600 fossil fuel companies have taken at least $3bn in US Covid-19 aid”
"Businesses include oil and gas drillers and coal mine operators, an analysis by Documented and the Guardian finds
Environmental advocates say investing billions in an industry that is polluting the planet and causing the climate crisis is short-sighted and a bad use of public money."
“Short sighted and a bad use of public money”-----no shit! That is yet another statement echoing through the theatre of the absurd.
“The businesses include oil and gas drillers and coal mine operators, as well as refiners, pipeline companies and firms that provide services to the industry.”
Published onTue 7 Jul 2020 06.00 EDT
Jacobin’s Ari Rabin Havt published this piece on June 28:
The CARES Act Is Subsidizing Fossil Capital
This is what should get people on the streets en masse. We are paying for this monetarily and with our lives, our children’s lives, all races, all species.
And of course, where are the puppeteers for Joe regarding this treachery?
We know where they are. They are pocketing the money and probably figuring out how to escape or build fortresses to protect themselves from the hell hole that is the u.s.
we can blame the media with some justification but one reason for low media climate coverage is that the public, by how they click or watch, has relatively little interest. Another factor is that a progressive energy has prioritized the Black Lives Matter movement, and climate issues, Pride Month (June) the peace movement, even medicare-for-all seem to have gotten diminished attention
According to Michael Shellenberger - founding father of ecomodernism - those of us who are concerned about the dangers posed by climate change have been “duped”. My concern is that this argument is getting more traction. I think that this argument is something that people need to be aware of and need to be able to challenge.
On Behalf Of Environmentalists, I Apologize For The Climate Scare - Michael Shellenberger, @ShellenbergerMD
On behalf of environmentalists everywhere, I would like to formally apologize for the climate scare we created over the last 30 years. Climate change is happening. It’s just not the end of the world. It’s not even our most serious environmental problem.
I may seem like a strange person to be saying all of this. I have been a climate activist for 20 years and an environmentalist for 30.
But as an energy expert asked by Congress to provide objective expert testimony, and invited by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to serve as Expert Reviewer of its next Assessment Report, I feel an obligation to apologize for how badly we environmentalists have misled the public.
Here are some facts few people know:
- Humans are not causing a “sixth mass extinction”
- The Amazon is not “the lungs of the world”
- Climate change is not making natural disasters worse
- Fires have declined 25% around the world since 2003
- The amount of land we use for meat — humankind’s biggest use of land — has declined by an area nearly as large as Alaska
- The build-up of wood fuel and more houses near forests, not climate change, explain why there are more, and more dangerous, fires in Australia and California
- Carbon emissions are declining in most rich nations and have been declining in Britain, Germany, and France since the mid-1970s
- Netherlands became rich not poor while adapting to life below sea level
- We produce 25% more food than we need and food surpluses will continue to rise as the world gets hotter
- Habitat loss and the direct killing of wild animals are bigger threats to species than climate change
- Wood fuel is far worse for people and wildlife than fossil fuels
- Preventing future pandemics requires more not less “industrial” agriculture
I know that the above facts will sound like “climate denialism” to many people. But that just shows the power of climate alarmism.
In reality, the above facts come from the best-available scientific studies, including those conducted by or accepted by the IPCC, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), the International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN) and other leading scientific bodies.
Some people will, when they read this imagine that I’m some right-wing anti-environmentalist. I’m not. At 17, I lived in Nicaragua to show solidarity with the Sandinista socialist revolution. At 23 I raised money for Guatemalan women’s cooperatives. In my early 20s I lived in the semi-Amazon doing research with small farmers fighting land invasions. At 26 I helped expose poor conditions at Nike factories in Asia.
I became an environmentalist at 16 when I threw a fundraiser for Rainforest Action Network. At 27 I helped save the last unprotected ancient redwoods in California. In my 30s I advocated renewables and successfully helped persuade the Obama administration to invest $90 billion into them. Over the last few years I helped save enough nuclear plants from being replaced by fossil fuels to prevent a sharp increase in emissions
But until last year, I mostly avoided speaking out against the climate scare. Partly that’s because I was embarrassed. After all, I am as guilty of alarmism as any other environmentalist. For years, I referred to climate change as an “existential” threat to human civilization, and called it a “crisis.”
But mostly I was scared. I remained quiet about the climate disinformation campaign because I was afraid of losing friends and funding. The few times I summoned the courage to defend climate science from those who misrepresent it I suffered harsh consequences. And so I mostly stood by and did next to nothing as my fellow environmentalists terrified the public.
I even stood by as people in the White House and many in the news media tried to destroy the reputation and career of an outstanding scientist, good man, and friend of mine, Roger Pielke, Jr., a lifelong progressive Democrat and environmentalist who testified in favor of carbon regulations. Why did they do that? Because his research proves natural disasters aren’t getting worse.
But then, last year, things spiraled out of control.
The world’s most influential green journalist, Bill McKibben, called climate change the “greatest challenge humans have ever faced” and said it would “wipe out civilizations.”
Mainstream journalists reported, repeatedly, that the Amazon was “the lungs of the world,” and that deforestation was like a nuclear bomb going off.
As a result, half of the people surveyed around the world last year said they thought climate change would make humanity extinct . And in January, one out of five British children told pollsters they were having nightmares about climate change.
Whether or not you have children you must see how wrong this is. I admit I may be sensitive because I have a teenage daughter. After we talked about the science she was reassured. But her friends are deeply misinformed and thus, understandably, frightened.
I thus decided I had to speak out. I knew that writing a few articles wouldn’t be enough. I needed a book to properly lay out all of the evidence.
And so my formal apology for our fear-mongering comes in the form of my new book, Apocalypse Never: Why Environmental Alarmism Hurts Us All .
It is based on two decades of research and three decades of environmental activism. At 400 pages, with 100 of them endnotes, Apocalypse Never covers climate change, deforestation, plastic waste, species extinction, industrialization, meat, nuclear energy, and renewables.
Some highlights from the book:
- Factories and modern farming are the keys to human liberation and environmental progress
- The most important thing for saving the environment is producing more food, particularly meat, on less land
- The most important thing for reducing air pollution and carbon emissions is moving from wood to coal to petroleum to natural gas to uranium
- 100% renewables would require increasing the land used for energy from today’s 0.5% to 50%
- We should want cities, farms, and power plants to have higher, not lower, power densities
- Vegetarianism reduces one’s emissions by less than 4%
- Greenpeace didn’t save the whales, switching from whale oil to petroleum and palm oil did
- “Free-range” beef would require 20 times more land and produce 300% more emissions
- Greenpeace dogmatism worsened forest fragmentation of the Amazon
- The colonialist approach to gorilla conservation in the Congo produced a backlash that may have resulted in the killing of 250 elephants
Why were we all so misled?
In the final three chapters of Apocalypse Never I expose the financial, political, and ideological motivations. Environmental groups have accepted hundreds of millions of dollars from fossil fuel interests. Groups motivated by anti-humanist beliefs forced the World Bank to stop trying to end poverty and instead make poverty “sustainable.” And status anxiety, depression, and hostility to modern civilization are behind much of the alarmism
Once you realize just how badly misinformed we have been, often by people with plainly unsavory or unhealthy motivations, it is hard not to feel duped.
Will Apocalypse Never make any difference? There are certainly reasons to doubt it.
The news media have been making apocalyptic pronouncements about climate change since the late 1980s, and do not seem disposed to stop.
The ideology behind environmental alarmsim — Malthusianism — has been repeatedly debunked for 200 years and yet is more powerful than ever.
But there are also reasons to believe that environmental alarmism will, if not come to an end, have diminishing cultural power.
The coronavirus pandemic is an actual crisis that puts the climate “crisis” into perspective. Even if you think we have overreacted, Covid-19 has killed nearly 500,000 people and shattered economies around the globe.
Scientific institutions including WHO and IPCC have undermined their credibility through the repeated politicization of science. Their future existence and relevance depends on new leadership and serious reform.
Facts still matter, and social media is allowing for a wider range of new and independent voices to outcompete alarmist environmental journalists at legacy publications.
Nations are reverting openly to self-interest and away from Malthusianism and neoliberalism, which is good for nuclear and bad for renewables.
The evidence is overwhelming that our high-energy civilization is better for people and nature than the low-energy civilization that climate alarmists would return us to.
The invitations from IPCC and Congress are signs of a growing openness to new thinking about climate change and the environment. Another one has been to the response to my book from climate scientists, conservationists, and environmental scholars. " Apocalypse Never is an extremely important book,” writes Richard Rhodes, the Pulitzer-winning author of The Making of the Atomic Bomb . “This may be the most important book on the environment ever written,” says one of the fathers of modern climate science Tom Wigley.
“We environmentalists condemn those with antithetical views of being ignorant of science and susceptible to confirmation bias,” wrote the former head of The Nature Conservancy, Steve McCormick. “But too often we are guilty of the same. Shellenberger offers ‘tough love:’ a challenge to entrenched orthodoxies and rigid, self-defeating mindsets. Apocalypse Never serves up occasionally stinging, but always well-crafted, evidence-based points of view that will help develop the ‘mental muscle’ we need to envision and design not only a hopeful, but an attainable, future.”
That is all I hoped for in writing it. If you’ve made it this far, I hope you’ll agree that it’s perhaps not as strange as it seems that a lifelong environmentalist, progressive, and climate activist felt the need to speak out against the alarmism.
I further hope that you’ll accept my apology.
Exactly, but on the issue of how to prepare for this - well, that is huge and goes far beyond our physical response and reaction to the collapse. Personally, my feeling is that it is too late and that this is simply the latest symptom of what will only intensify and become increasingly worse. That does not mean I have given up, after all I am still breathing, but on the other hand I do feel that there is a deeper meaning somehow in this and that each of us have to prepare and adjust in the manner that works for us. There really is no other choice at this point. My attitude is acceptance but not despair.
“So I ask again: where are the breaking news?” tweeted teen climate activist Greta Thunberg. “Where are the front pages? Where are the emergency meetings? Where are the adults?”
The majority of them are enabling the sociopathic monsters who are chasing and stealing all the artificial wealth they can as things collapse before our very eyes. The majority of them have bought into the lie that they must work themselves to the bone to simply try and put food on the table and a roof over their heads. There are no adults in the world currently with any power to stop the insanity driving us along with all flora and fauna to extinction. The majority of them have been co-opted to live their lives in a manner that is disconnected from reality and a livable environment. Sorry Greta, but most folks don’t give a damn about you and your generation let alone themselves when it really matters. If they did, they would ALL be out on the streets shutting down the odious machine that controls their lives and is literally killing them. But they seemingly worship and bow down to the damn machine instead.
I surely don’t know the answer, but it is the only thing that we should all be focused on right now. Everything else is nothing but a distraction. I only hope that I can maintain some manner of kindness as things rapidly go down the drain. I am not looking forward to what is surely coming our way.
Seeing the mass online hate for Greta is one of the things that makes me not mourn human extinction that much. She is not doing this out of clout or because of her ‘autism’ (as one on the spectrum I find this insult particularly disgusting). No she sees the mountain sized elephant in the room that she and her generation will be lucky if they even make it to their 30s with the lack of action on the climate.
Biggest understatement of the year.