Biden is in no way a safe pick. First off, he leads entirely because of voters 50 and older, particularly voters 65 and older As of now, he is leading according to polls that over-sample older voters because of that. The support from people based on age is massive with him. But, what is Biden going to do in the Midwest when he has to defend NAFTA? What is going to do to students that he screwed over with his bankruptcy bill? In 2016, the largest drop in support in key states like Wisconsin occurred in black communities. So, will they continue to look past the harsh drug bills he authored with his buddy Strom Thurmond, his horrible crime bill (which also created incentives for private prisons), among other things? Will people that want to avoid, you know, total ecological collapse support his weak tea environmental policies? Will people look past his corruption, his mountain of stupid comments, his horrible record, his creepy behavior? How is a person like him safe in any way? I think he is near the bottom as far as actual electibility, and maybe Democrats will at some point realize that independents are far more important in the general election. So, given his record and world view, what does he offer them?
In recent weeks, he has done very little to connect with regular voters, but he has done a ton of fundraising gigs with big money donors. He is set to tour NY with Cuomo and a bunch of investment bankers. Who in the hell wants more of that? The media has been carrying water for him, but his faults are absolutely huge and it will not be possible to hide it for much longer. However, older voters are strongly supporting him and many of them are no more rational than the Trump supporters. So, even if he beats Trump, he will do nothing about the context that produced him. We will then have to clean up the huge mess and costs he created and then left for us. My advice; talk to grandma and grandpa, mom and dad,your aunts and uncles that are in that age group and talk about his record. Talk about the actual mood of the country and what we actually need on policy. Like I said, his support is almost entirely from older voters. Bernie leads with voters 49 and younger, and most people don’t know tons about his record.