The earth is going to change quite a bit in ten years.
The Arctic is loose. We’re going to continue to see massive tundra fires turning the tundra black, solar black, and then the tundra is going to be releasing much of its perhaps 100 million years of stored methane and carbon dioxide. We’ve already seen record low ice packs on the Arctic Ocean, where the dark ocean absorbs all of that heat rather permanently, and now we’re forecasted to see ever more massive methane releases from the Arctic Ocean’s continental shelf. I might expect the newly hot Arctic Ocean to reach 90% below typical wintertime ice cover on at least three of the next ten summers, although such a thing has not yet happened in recorded history. Methane production will explode.
Now they’ve discovered that New England soils also give off greenhouse gases when the local climate changes. One methane study discovered that tropical methane rises too.
We have learned that mile-wide F-4 tornadoes are now possible and they rip paths right through cities. Lets assume that F-4s can also be more frequent ten years down the road. We saw a cyclone hit 220 mph or so in the Phillippines. Lets assume that within ten years the power of Atlantic storms increases further. None of the skyscrapers in Eastern cities could withstand the worst blasts. Nor could any of their subway systems. Note that Los Angeles might not be immune from a powerful but weakening hurricane.
If our world’s grain belts, forests and oceans fail then we, the people of the world, shall have a chronic hunger problem in, best guess, 70 years. This won’t happen in ten years but after a decade we’ll see it coming at us a lot better. It’s similar to when the megafire comes over the ridge and now you can see the flames at night from your neighborhood of suburban houses.