The trajectory of our outbreak violates all tenets of decent governance, fails all human beings. Where USA stands today would be astonishing if we hadn’t seen it creeping up on us for months. Even so, it’s still historically astonishing.
A brief history of COVID-19 cases (latest CDC numbers):
> WEEK 28 DAYS CASES > ENDING NEW TOTAL > > 4. 02/10/2020 11 11 > 8. 03/09/2020 636 647 > 12. 04/06/2020 373,682 374,329 > 16. 05/04/2020 797,181 1,171,510 > 20. 06/01/2020 630,960 1,802,470 > 24. 06/29/2020 778,759 2,581,229 > 28. 07/27/2020 1,698,906 4,280,135
Assuming equal pressure to distort the numbers in all months, the recent doubling is more than notable. From here, USA’s outbreak can either (1) finally begin to decline, (2) hold steady at a higher plateau for several more months, or (3) continue doubling. My bet is on (2), but we won’t know for another month.
These are uncharted waters in which to navigate a novel virus. USA’s big sailing ship is right out in front, the leading global pariah of endemic infection.
News item late July 31st is that California has 500,000 cases.
Another bothersome location is Brooklyn NY.
As of 1:00 PM on Thursday, July 16th, there are 217,230 confirmed COVID-19 cases in New York City and 60,439 confirmed cases in Brooklyn. As of 1:00 PM on Thursday, July 16th, there were 18,754 confirmed deaths citywide, with an additional 4,617 probable deaths, including 5,577 confirmed deaths, and 1,618 additional probable deaths in Brooklyn.
Brooklyn appears to be way too deep into this virus health trap.
5, 577 divided by 60,439 = 9%
which is twice as high death rate than i expected.
add the 1,618 probables to both and we have 7,195 divided by 62,057 = 11.6%
I wonder if anyone else knows this??
A terrible failure of education, public health, governments.
And a florida physician said that we now know how to treat this virus.
darn, I pray they do.
Please note that USA education failure may be due to too many administrators.