Yeah, I don’t know. But I think that the MIC waits for Biden to put the team together and for the MSM and PR to set a narrative scene without Trump squatting between the props. They get sound bytes from Biden at some appropriate point, longer appearances by Harris and some cabinet member, lots of press about gender relations in Iran and theocracy and so forth. All that has been primed for years, of course, but having the president move back and forth at purposes randomly skew to his military has not been optimal, from their point of view. Not extending Covid protections for renters will almost certainly sharpen the poverty draft, but there’s a few months involved in all that. It still allows them time to get pretty large engagement well before 2024.
On the other hand, if Donald wedges down the chimney to give Biden his war for Christmas, lots of people will say that it was all the solitary madman once again. I would say that the camps are really not quite that friendly, though, despite their commonalities, and that there is still some care taken to preserve the American notion that its government is legitimate and grossly consonant with ethical considerations.
I think that they will press for an incident in the Gulf or between Iran and Baghdad once again, and not a big domestic event like 9/11 (knock on wood). But I don’t know. Maybe they have something original. They are not getting the responses from these sorts of things that they did 20 and 30 and 40 years ago.