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Lockdown Delays Contributed to Massive US Death Toll, Says Modeling, Suggesting Lessons to Be Learned as States Reopen

Originally published at http://www.commondreams.org/news/2020/05/21/lockdown-delays-contributed-massive-us-death-toll-says-modeling-suggesting-lessons

Lockdown delays and too soon to reopen, both are going to send the death toll straight up. Stories coming out of China and South Korea, both of whom had a much better response than the US, are now closing down new sectors because of an increase in new cases.

The first lesson to learn is who not to vote for.

The official tallies of COVID deaths is understated by as much as 20 percent. When "excess mortality"rates measured in there an average of 20% more deaths worldwide based on expected death rates using a measurement for the past 5 years over and above the COVID tally.

They way it works is something like this.

Over the past 5 years Country XXX has had 100,000 deaths per year. If in one year they suddenly get 120,000 deaths then there a 20 percent excess mortality rate. Country XXX reports 30,000 COVID deaths. The total number of deaths in that Country is not 130,000 but 150,000. It more then a little likely that the other 20000 deaths related to COVID and not reported as such,

The US and the UK are at the head of the pack when it comes to deaths over and above what was expected before the pandemic. The Countries they accuse of cheating (See Russia) are not seeing as great an increase in overall deaths as are the US and the UK.