I’ve said since day 1 of the trump presidency that it’s hard to see how trump doesn’t start a war.
It’s the same thing as Bush, when he was running for president, candidly admitting he wanted to be a ‘war president’ because it would boost his support for his presidency and domestic policies.
It’s the cynical approach to the issue - but very real, practical effective. He wasn’t wrong. If you look at the approval ratings for 8 years of Bush, it’s low ratings declining except for big bumps for 9/11 and starting the Iraq War and when Saddam was captured. And Bush did get his terrible tax cuts for the rich and big pharma giveaway Medicare Part D and such passed. It turned Bush from a joke into a ‘controversial’ president but one that was able to get some big bad things done and even re-elected.
The lesson is not lost on trump - but the issue is on steroids. He’s more obsessed with ‘ratings’ and even more of a sociopath in being willing to use things like war for his own benefit.
And his ratings are even worse and the only button he has to push to try to fix it is the got to war button that has so reliably boosted ratings for president in the short term, and trump has indicated he knows that.
So what’s going to happen - trump just flails and has worse and worse ratings, or he uses war?
It’s hard to see any other result that he uses war.
Matt, you wrongly blame the victim here, as if the pressures making it so likely for trump to use war aren’t in place no matter what, but are rather only caused by something the American people are doing.
That’s like saying a chronic wife beater who is going to beat his wife no matter what for his own reasons, is really someone where the wife made him do it by looking at him wrong.
You seem to be holding out the carrot of trump not using war for his own benefit if the American people do as you advocate, when that is quite the unrealistic carrot to offer.
Perhaps a bit like offering the road runner to Wile E. Coyote. The problem with trump being likely to go to war isn’t one to be solved by anything short of the American people making a deal with trump to give him huge ratings if he avoids war. And that rightly isn’t likely to happen. So just as the election allowed everyone to pick a reason why it went wrong that fit their agendas, everyone will be able to find blame why trump went to war if he does as is so likely. You’ll be able to point at this column and wrongly claim you had said how to avoid it.