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With Covid-19 Cases Surging, Experts Urge US Public to Re-Double Efforts to Stop Spread—and Temper Expectations for Pfizer's Vaccine

Originally published at http://www.commondreams.org/news/2020/11/09/covid-19-cases-surging-experts-urge-us-public-re-double-efforts-stop-spread-and

Not wearing a mask is indelibly associated with the loser Trump.

Seems the only way any of his followers ever learn from their mistakes is when they contract the virus and go knocking on Death’s door.

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This ranking of states is designed to compactly present Johns Hopkins positivity in a manner facilitating interstate comparisons. My algorithmic analysis of JH stats delineates four state-groupings, such that the top quadrant, with 8 states approaching 50% positivity, might represent the most ubiquitous community infection anywhere on Earth. (For reference, WHO says 5% positivity is bad.) The lowest (least infected) quadrant, starting from Louisiana in 39th place today, hangs on with some defenses despite USA’s meteoric third surge.

STATE COVID-19 OUTBREAKS

Ranking is based on Johns Hopkins’ test-positivity factored with “per-capita newcases” & “immediate mortality” – the ratio of totals on hand for deaths and cases.

>                        JH       per-capita     immed
>                    positivity    newcases    mortality
>                        %            %            %
>  1. South Dakota      49.6        110.8         0.99
>  2. Iowa              41.0         69.1         0.62
>  3. Wyoming           32.7         63.3         0.70
>  4. North Dakota      13.9        133.1         1.14
>  5. Idaho             36.1         51.0         0.70
>  6. Montana           20.4         72.0         1.16
>  7. Kansas            32.3         40.1         0.93
>  8. Wisconsin         14.7         74.8         0.71
> --- ---------------------- ------------ ------------
>  9. Utah              15.8         55.2         0.30
> 10. Nebraska          11.5         64.6         0.52
> 11. Missouri          13.8         42.5         1.02
> 12. Alabama           19.4         27.5         1.09
> 13. Minnesota         10.6         48.8         0.70
> 14. Illinois           9.3         50.3         0.77
> 15. Indiana            9.8         43.0         1.06
> 16. Arkansas          11.0         35.3         1.73
> 17. Oklahoma          11.9         35.1         0.86
> 18. Mississippi       15.3         26.5         1.57
> 19. Tennessee         10.1         36.1         1.21
> 20. New Mexico         8.6         39.0         1.02
> 21. Nevada            11.1         29.8         0.78
> 22. Colorado           8.5         35.4         0.53
> --- ---------------------- ------------ ------------
> 23. Michigan           8.5         30.6         0.88
> 24. Pennsylvania      13.9         17.2         1.13
> 25. Arizona           12.1         17.4         1.28
> 26. Texas              9.3         21.7         1.29
> 27. Ohio               7.7         26.7         0.64
> 28. Kentucky           5.4         33.0         0.73
> 29. North Carolina     6.2         21.3         1.31
> 30. Florida            6.6         19.1         1.50
> 31. South Carolina     5.9         19.8         1.61
> 32. Rhode Island       3.4         34.7         0.86
> 33. West Virginia      5.2         21.4         1.18
> 34. Oregon             9.9         12.2         0.90
> 35. Alaska             2.5         47.0         0.20
> 36. Georgia            7.2         14.0         1.92
> 37. Virginia           6.6         14.3         0.94
> 38. Delaware           4.7         17.4         1.20
> --- ---------------------- ------------ ------------
> 39. Louisiana          4.6         12.6         2.35
> 40. New Jersey         4.4         17.5         0.59
> 41. Connecticut        3.8         19.0         0.78
> 42. Washington         5.0         12.0         0.95
> 43. Maryland           3.4         14.2         0.89
> 44. Massachusetts      1.9         17.7         1.56
> 45. California         3.5         11.0         1.11
> 46. New Hampshire      2.4          9.5         0.94
> 47. D.C.               1.9         10.7         1.00
> 48. Hawaii             2.3          6.6         1.72
> 49. New York           1.7         10.6         0.73
> 50. Maine              1.5          6.1         0.46
> 51. Vermont            0.6          3.2         0.27

As USA’s outbreak trajectory progresses from its very steep upward slope today, we’ll likely see states much more often hopping up a quadrant than down, for the foreseeable.

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Trump prevailed on November 3 in 93% of US counties having the highest rates of Covid-19 infection.

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Dr. Tom Frieden: “Very encouraging report efficacy of Pfizer vaccine against Covid, and much better than expected, with caveats.”

I don’t read it the same way doctor, I’ll put more stock in the following statement,

“The release of preliminary and incomplete clinical trial data by press release to the public is bad science.”

Without being “peer-reviewed”, this leads me to believe profit, not safety, is driving Pfizer.
I’ll pass, thank you.

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Lots of insider trading opportunities with this announcement…its the American way !

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A good common dream story. Augmented by associated press at:

h-ttps://apnews.com/article/pfizer-vaccine-effective-early-data-4f4ae2e3bad122d17742be22a2240ae8

and further from my smart a$$ attitude:
Thank you spooks at fort detrick, maryland for sharing.

Brought to you by the party of the proudly stupid!

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I’ll pass as well. Hopefully, they don’t make it mandatory.

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Agreed, the other major issue is how long the vaccine’s protection lasts. Flu vaccines last a year because there are new flues so new vaccine is necessary. I believe Covid can mutate which throws a fly in the ointment over the long term.

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People are getting re-infected with COVID. This questions how long antibodies last and the value of a vaccine.

Me too.

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HUD Secretary Ben Carson has tested positive.

From CNBC website:

Carson, 69, “is in good spirits and feels fortunate to have access to effective therapeutics which aid and markedly speed his recovery,” HUD deputy chief of staff Coalter Baker said in a statement.

We should all be so lucky to get Regeneron’s monoclonal antibodies on demand.

Me too, until they can prove this isn’t more about profiteering than health.
Safety first.

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That’s what you call “production standards”! The gift that keeps on giving.

A brief history of USA COVID-19 cases (latest CDC numbers):

> WEEK    9 WEEKS              CASES
>         ENDING          NEW       TOTAL
> 
>   9.  03/01/2020          30          30
>  18.  05/03/2020   1,152,342   1,152,372
>  27.  07/05/2020   1,733,895   2,886,267
>  36.  09/06/2020   3,374,949   6,261,216
>  45.  11/08/2020   3,652,337   9,913,553

I’d love a source for that–I looked but didn’t find that percentage, exactly. Thanks.